2022/12/09 02:00 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 2 13153 17 21 -17 0.054 0.051 0.024 0.009 0.010 27 11 13156 2 8 25 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 26 4 13157 17 -5 16 0.051 0.049 0.023 0.008 0.009 16 6 13158 1 49 24 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 54! 7 13160 4 -46 21 0.004 0.006 0.003 0.001 0.001 50! 10 13161 3 2 26 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 26 Disk Forecast Rates 0.110 0.120 0.054 0.018 0.022 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 89.00% 89.00% 95.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 7.90% 4.20% 2.00% 2.00%